Arezzo vs Sudtirol prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Arezzo to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Arezzo 36% at home, a draw 29% and Sudtirol 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 31% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Arezzo and 1.3 for Sudtirol; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Arezzo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Arezzo
Attack 14th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Empoli 2026-09-11
- L 0-5 at Verona 2026-09-06
- L 2-3 v Palermo 2026-08-30
- W 2-1 at Avellino 2026-08-22
Sudtirol
Attack 12th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Modena 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 v Catanzaro 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Benevento 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Virtus Entella 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Juve Stabia 2026-05-08
From 806 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 20 Sep
- Verona vs Vicenza · FT 2–1
- Mantova vs Pisa · FT 2–2
- Modena vs Empoli · FT 2–1