Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stenhousemuir to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Stenhousemuir 51% at home, a draw 31% and Arbroath 18%, so its call is 1: Stenhousemuir to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 29% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Stenhousemuir and 0.8 for Arbroath; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%. Careful: there is little recent data on Stenhousemuir, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Stenhousemuir
Attack 3rd of 10, defence 3rd of 10 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Partick 2026-09-15
- W 1-0 at Livingston 2026-09-04
- W 3-1 v Inverness C 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Queens Park 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 v Morton 2026-08-08
Arbroath
Attack 7th of 10, defence 6th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Raith Rvs 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Dunfermline 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Livingston 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 at Morton 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Inverness C 2026-08-08
From 391 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 19 Sep
- Livingston vs Inverness C · FT 2–2
- Morton vs Dunfermline · FT 0–1
- Partick vs Raith Rvs · FT 0–0