Morton vs Dunfermline prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dunfermline to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Morton 28% at home, a draw 32% and Dunfermline 40%, so its call is X2: Dunfermline to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 12% / 21% / 67%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Morton and 1.3 for Dunfermline; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Morton
Attack 9th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-4 v Livingston 2026-09-11
- L 1-2 at Queens Park 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Ayr 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Arbroath 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Stenhousemuir 2026-08-08
Dunfermline
Attack 6th of 10, defence 4th of 10 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Queens Park 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Arbroath 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Raith Rvs 2026-08-28
- L 0-2 at Livingston 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Ayr 2026-08-08
From 391 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 19 Sep
- Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath · FT 1–0
- Livingston vs Inverness C · FT 2–2
- Partick vs Raith Rvs · FT 0–0