St Johnstone vs Falkirk prediction
Scotland Premiership · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Johnstone to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives St Johnstone 37% at home, a draw 26% and Falkirk 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 27% / 28%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for St Johnstone and 1.3 for Falkirk; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 50%. Careful: there is little recent data on St Johnstone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St Johnstone
Attack 10th of 12, defence 10th of 12 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Celtic 2026-09-09
- W 2-1 v Hibernian 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 at Dundee 2026-09-02
- L 1-2 at Hearts 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 at St Mirren 2026-08-08
Falkirk
Attack 6th of 12, defence 8th of 12 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Hearts 2026-09-15
- D 1-1 at Dundee United 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 v Rangers 2026-09-02
- L 1-2 at Celtic 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Motherwell 2026-08-09
From 492 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sat 19 Sep
- Dundee vs Motherwell · FT 2–1
- Hibernian vs Aberdeen · FT 1–1
- St Mirren vs Dundee United · FT 0–3
- Kilmarnock vs Hearts · FT 1–1