Kilmarnock vs Hearts prediction
Scotland Premiership · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hearts to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Kilmarnock 20% at home, a draw 22% and Hearts 58%, so its call is 2: Hearts to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 20% / 23% / 57%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kilmarnock and 1.9 for Hearts; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kilmarnock
Attack 7th of 12, defence 12th of 12 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Hibernian 2026-09-15
- D 0-0 at Aberdeen 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 v St Mirren 2026-09-02
- L 0-4 v Dundee United 2026-08-29
- L 1-5 v Celtic 2026-08-09
Hearts
Attack 3rd of 12, defence 2nd of 12 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Falkirk 2026-09-15
- W 2-1 v Dundee 2026-09-06
- W 3-1 at Hibernian 2026-09-03
- W 2-1 v St Johnstone 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Dundee United 2026-08-09
From 492 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sat 19 Sep
- Dundee vs Motherwell · FT 2–1
- Hibernian vs Aberdeen · FT 1–1
- St Johnstone vs Falkirk · FT 1–1
- St Mirren vs Dundee United · FT 0–3