Brit Predictor

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 WAT

Full timeSparta Rotterdam 0–4 HeerenveenResult 2

Who wins?

Sparta RotterdamDrawHeerenveen
Model 12 ✓
35%28%36%
Market 12 ✓
39%24%37%

Brit Predictor's model rates Heerenveen to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Sparta Rotterdam 35% at home, a draw 28% and Heerenveen 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 24% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.4 for Heerenveen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
GoalsOver 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Sparta Rotterdam

Attack 16th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.

LDLDW
  • L 1-4 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-09-13
  • D 2-2 v Zwolle 2026-09-04
  • L 1-2 at Excelsior 2026-08-29
  • D 3-3 v Utrecht 2026-08-22
  • W 3-1 at Telstar 2026-08-14

Heerenveen

Attack 11th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.

DLDLD
  • D 0-0 v Telstar 2026-09-13
  • L 2-3 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-09-06
  • D 2-2 at Willem II 2026-08-30
  • L 0-2 v Zwolle 2026-08-22
  • D 2-2 at Ajax 2026-08-16

From 667 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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