Lommel SK vs Mechelen prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lommel SK to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Lommel SK 42% at home, a draw 28% and Mechelen 30%, so its call is 1: Lommel SK to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lommel SK and 1.1 for Mechelen; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lommel SK, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lommel SK
Attack 15th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-5 at St. Gilloise 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Club Brugge 2026-09-04
- W 1-0 at Cercle Brugge 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Westerlo 2026-08-23
- L 0-1 v Charleroi 2026-08-16
Mechelen
Attack 11th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Anderlecht 2026-09-11
- L 0-4 v Westerlo 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 at RAAL La Louviere 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 at Charleroi 2026-08-22
- D 3-3 v Standard 2026-08-16
From 678 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 19 Sep
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs RAAL La Louviere · FT 2–0
- Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge · FT 3–2
- Anderlecht vs Waregem · FT 3–0