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Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge prediction

Belgium Pro League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:15 WAT

Full timeCharleroi 3–2 Cercle BruggeResult 1

Who wins?

CharleroiDrawCercle Brugge
Model 1 ✓
56%24%20%
Market 1 ✓
60%22%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Charleroi to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Charleroi 56% at home, a draw 24% and Cercle Brugge 20%, so its call is 1: Charleroi to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 22% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Charleroi and 1.0 for Cercle Brugge; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
GoalsOver 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score54%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Charleroi

Attack 8th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.

WLWWW
  • W 1-0 at Waregem 2026-09-13
  • L 2-3 v St. Gilloise 2026-09-05
  • W 3-1 at Kortrijk 2026-08-29
  • W 2-0 v Mechelen 2026-08-22
  • W 1-0 at Lommel SK 2026-08-16

Cercle Brugge

Attack 10th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.

DLLLD
  • D 1-1 at Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-09-12
  • L 0-3 v Gent 2026-09-06
  • L 0-1 v Lommel SK 2026-08-29
  • L 0-1 at Club Brugge 2026-08-23
  • D 3-3 v St Truiden 2026-08-14

From 678 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.

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