Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City prediction
Scotland League Two · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Kelty Hearts to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Kelty Hearts 46% at home, a draw 22% and Edinburgh City 31%, so its call is 1: Kelty Hearts to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Kelty Hearts and 1.6 for Edinburgh City; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 69%. Careful: there is little recent data on Kelty Hearts, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kelty Hearts
Attack 5th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Clyde 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 v Annan Athletic 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 at Stranraer 2026-08-29
- W 3-1 v Dumbarton 2026-08-22
- L 1-4 at Elgin 2026-08-15
Edinburgh City
Attack 4th of 10, defence 9th of 10 in the league.
- W 7-3 v Stirling 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 at Clyde 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Forfar 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Annan Athletic 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 at Dumbarton 2026-08-15
From 395 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League Two games on Sat 19 Sep
- Dumbarton vs Spartans · FT 3–0
- Elgin vs Stranraer · FT 1–5
- Forfar vs Annan Athletic · FT 1–0
- Stirling vs Clyde · FT 1–1