Brit Predictor

Dumbarton vs Spartans prediction

Scotland League Two · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeDumbarton 3–0 SpartansResult 1

Who wins?

DumbartonDrawSpartans
Model 2 ✗
23%24%52%
Market 2 ✗
23%22%55%

Brit Predictor's model rates Spartans to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Dumbarton 23% at home, a draw 24% and Spartans 52%, so its call is 2: Spartans to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 23% / 22% / 55%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Dumbarton and 1.8 for Spartans; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
GoalsOver 2.5 · 55%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Dumbarton

Attack 10th of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.

LWLLL
  • L 1-3 at Stranraer 2026-09-12
  • W 2-1 v Elgin 2026-09-05
  • L 0-2 at Annan Athletic 2026-08-29
  • L 1-3 at Kelty Hearts 2026-08-22
  • L 0-3 v Edinburgh City 2026-08-15

Spartans

Attack 1st of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.

WWDDL
  • W 5-1 v Forfar 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Stirling 2026-09-05
  • D 3-3 v Clyde 2026-08-29
  • D 3-3 v Elgin 2026-08-22
  • L 0-1 at Stranraer 2026-08-15

From 395 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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