Brit Predictor

Hamilton vs Queen of Sth prediction

Scotland League One · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeHamilton 4–1 Queen of SthResult 1

Who wins?

HamiltonDrawQueen of Sth
Model 1 ✓
60%24%17%
Market 1 ✓
73%17%10%

Brit Predictor's model rates Hamilton to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Hamilton 60% at home, a draw 24% and Queen of Sth 17%, so its call is 1: Hamilton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 73% / 17% / 10%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Hamilton and 1.0 for Queen of Sth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.

Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
GoalsOver 2.5 · 56%
Both teams score54%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Hamilton

Attack 2nd of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.

WWDWW
  • W 1-0 at East Kilbride 2026-09-05
  • W 1-0 v Cove Rangers 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 at East Fife 2026-08-22
  • W 4-0 v Airdrie Utd 2026-08-15
  • W 1-0 v Alloa 2026-08-08

Queen of Sth

Attack 3rd of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.

LDWLL
  • L 0-8 at Ross County 2026-09-15
  • D 1-1 v East Fife 2026-09-12
  • W 2-1 v Airdrie Utd 2026-09-05
  • L 1-2 at Montrose 2026-08-29
  • L 0-2 v Alloa 2026-08-22

From 394 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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