Alloa vs East Kilbride prediction
Scotland League One · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Alloa to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Alloa 51% at home, a draw 27% and East Kilbride 22%, so its call is 1: Alloa to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 26% / 42%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Alloa and 1.1 for East Kilbride; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on East Kilbride, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Alloa
Attack 6th of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Airdrie Utd 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Cove Rangers 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Peterhead 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Queen of Sth 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Montrose 2026-08-15
East Kilbride
Attack 4th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Peterhead 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Hamilton 2026-09-05
- L 0-4 at Ross County 2026-08-29
- L 0-3 at Montrose 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Cove Rangers 2026-08-15
From 394 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League One games on Sat 19 Sep
- Hamilton vs Queen of Sth · FT 4–1
- Peterhead vs Airdrie Utd · FT 1–2
- Cove Rangers vs Ross County · FT 0–2
- East Fife vs Montrose · FT 1–2