Boulogne vs Nantes prediction
France Ligue 2 · Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Boulogne to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Boulogne 38% at home, a draw 29% and Nantes 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 29% / 45%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Boulogne and 1.1 for Nantes; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Nantes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Boulogne
Attack 17th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Clermont 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 v Dijon 2026-09-04
- D 0-0 at Montpellier 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 v Red Star 2026-08-21
- L 0-1 at Guingamp 2026-08-14
Nantes
Attack 11th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Sochaux 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Nancy 2026-09-07
- D 3-3 at Guingamp 2026-08-29
- L 2-5 v Rodez 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Laval 2026-08-14
From 671 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Sat 19 Sep
- Guingamp vs Red Star · FT 1–3
- Metz vs St Etienne · FT 2–2