La Coruna vs Sevilla prediction
Spain La Liga · Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates La Coruna to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives La Coruna 53% at home, a draw 23% and Sevilla 23%, so its call is 1: La Coruna to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 30% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for La Coruna and 1.1 for Sevilla; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on La Coruna, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
La Coruna
Attack 6th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Getafe 2026-09-13
- W 3-2 at Villarreal 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 v Valencia 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 at Malaga 2026-08-24
- D 1-1 v Elche 2026-08-17
Sevilla
Attack 13th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Valencia 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 at Espanol 2026-09-06
- L 1-3 v Ath Madrid 2026-08-29
- W 3-1 at Ath Bilbao 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Vallecano 2026-08-15
From 814 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Wed 16 Sep
- Ath Madrid vs Osasuna · FT 4–0
- Barcelona vs Santander · FT 7–2