Ath Madrid vs Osasuna prediction
Spain La Liga · Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Madrid to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Ath Madrid 65% at home, a draw 21% and Osasuna 14%, so its call is 1: Ath Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 75% / 16% / 9%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Ath Madrid and 0.8 for Osasuna; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ath Madrid
Attack 4th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-0 at Sociedad 2026-09-13
- L 0-3 at Ath Bilbao 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 at Sevilla 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Villarreal 2026-08-23
- W 2-0 v Malaga 2026-08-19
Osasuna
Attack 15th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Espanol 2026-09-12
- L 2-5 at Alaves 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 v Getafe 2026-08-31
- W 2-1 at Celta 2026-08-27
- D 0-0 v Levante 2026-08-24
From 814 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Wed 16 Sep
- La Coruna vs Sevilla · FT 0–1
- Barcelona vs Santander · FT 7–2