Brit Predictor
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Sociedad vs Ath Madrid prediction

Spain La Liga · Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:00 WAT

Full timeSociedad 0–3 Ath MadridResult 2

Who wins?

SociedadDrawAth Madrid
Model 2 ✓
32%25%43%
Market 2 ✓
28%26%46%

Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Madrid to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Sociedad 32% at home, a draw 25% and Ath Madrid 43%, so its call is 2: Ath Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 26% / 46%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sociedad and 1.6 for Ath Madrid; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
GoalsOver 2.5 · 55%
Both teams score58%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Sociedad

Attack 8th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.

WDWLL
  • W 3-2 at Elche 2026-09-07
  • D 0-0 v Celta 2026-09-03
  • W 2-1 v Espanol 2026-08-29
  • L 1-4 at Real Madrid 2026-08-26
  • L 0-1 at Betis 2026-08-21

Ath Madrid

Attack 4th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.

LWDWL
  • L 0-3 at Ath Bilbao 2026-09-05
  • W 3-1 at Sevilla 2026-08-29
  • D 2-2 v Villarreal 2026-08-23
  • W 2-0 v Malaga 2026-08-19
  • L 1-5 at Villarreal 2026-05-24

From 806 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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