Celta vs Malaga prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Celta to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Celta 58% at home, a draw 24% and Malaga 17%, so its call is 1: Celta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 25% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Celta and 0.8 for Malaga; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Malaga, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Celta
Attack 9th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Getafe 2026-09-07
- D 0-0 at Sociedad 2026-09-03
- L 0-2 v Ath Bilbao 2026-08-30
- L 1-2 v Osasuna 2026-08-27
- D 0-0 at Valencia 2026-08-22
Malaga
Attack 19th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Levante 2026-09-06
- L 0-4 at Real Madrid 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 v La Coruna 2026-08-24
- L 0-2 at Ath Madrid 2026-08-19
From 806 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 13 Sep
- Levante vs Barcelona · FT 2–4
- Getafe vs La Coruna · FT 1–1
- Sociedad vs Ath Madrid · FT 0–3