RB Leipzig vs Hamburg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates RB Leipzig to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives RB Leipzig 63% at home, a draw 22% and Hamburg 15%, so its call is 1: RB Leipzig to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 71% / 16% / 13%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for RB Leipzig and 0.9 for Hamburg; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
RB Leipzig
Attack 7th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Werder Bremen 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v M'gladbach 2026-08-29
- L 1-4 at Freiburg 2026-05-16
- W 2-1 v St Pauli 2026-05-09
- L 1-4 at Leverkusen 2026-05-02
Hamburg
Attack 18th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-5 v Mainz 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Dortmund 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Leverkusen 2026-05-16
- W 3-2 v Freiburg 2026-05-10
- W 2-1 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-05-02
From 637 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sun 13 Sep
- Elversberg vs Bayern Munich · FT 1–2