Elversberg vs Bayern Munich prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bayern Munich to win as the most likely result (72%). It gives Elversberg 13% at home, a draw 15% and Bayern Munich 72%, so its call is 2: Bayern Munich to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 6% / 10% / 84%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Elversberg and 3.1 for Bayern Munich; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 83%. Careful: there is little recent data on Elversberg, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Elversberg
Attack 5th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-3 at M'gladbach 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 v Leverkusen 2026-08-29
Bayern Munich
Attack 1st of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Schalke 04 2026-09-05
- W 5-1 v Stuttgart 2026-08-28
- W 5-1 v FC Koln 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 at Wolfsburg 2026-05-09
- D 3-3 v Heidenheim 2026-05-02
From 637 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sun 13 Sep
- RB Leipzig vs Hamburg · FT 5–0