PAOK vs Aris prediction
Greece Super League · Sunday 13 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates PAOK to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives PAOK 65% at home, a draw 23% and Aris 12%, so its call is 1: PAOK to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 22% / 14%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for PAOK and 0.8 for Aris; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
PAOK
Attack 1st of 14, defence 4th of 14 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Panathinaikos 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Atromitos 2026-08-30
- W 4-0 v Levadeiakos 2026-08-23
- D 2-2 at Panathinaikos 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v AEK 2026-05-13
Aris
Attack 8th of 14, defence 5th of 14 in the league.
- L 0-5 at AEK 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v OFI Crete 2026-08-30
- W 3-2 at Kalamata 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Levadeiakos 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Volos NFC 2026-05-13
From 492 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sun 13 Sep
- Kalamata vs Volos NFC · FT 3–1
- Asteras Tripolis vs AEK · FT 1–1
- Kifisia vs Levadeiakos · FT 0–0
- Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos · FT 3–0