Asteras Tripolis vs AEK prediction
Greece Super League · Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates AEK to win as the most likely result (69%). It gives Asteras Tripolis 8% at home, a draw 23% and AEK 69%, so its call is 2: AEK to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 12% / 20% / 68%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.5 for Asteras Tripolis and 1.9 for AEK; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Asteras Tripolis
Attack 12th of 14, defence 8th of 14 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Iraklis 2026-09-07
- L 0-1 v Olympiakos 2026-08-30
- L 1-3 at Panetolikos 2026-08-23
- W 2-1 at Panetolikos 2026-05-21
- D 0-0 v Kifisia 2026-05-16
AEK
Attack 2nd of 14, defence 2nd of 14 in the league.
- W 5-0 v Aris 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Kifisia 2026-08-30
- W 4-0 v Iraklis 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Olympiakos 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at PAOK 2026-05-13
From 492 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sun 13 Sep
- Kalamata vs Volos NFC · FT 3–1
- Kifisia vs Levadeiakos · FT 0–0
- PAOK vs Aris · FT 2–0
- Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos · FT 3–0