Napoli vs Bologna prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Napoli to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Napoli 53% at home, a draw 25% and Bologna 22%, so its call is 1: Napoli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 26% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Napoli and 0.9 for Bologna; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Napoli
Attack 4th of 20, defence 3rd of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Inter 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 v Como 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 at Genoa 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Udinese 2026-05-24
- W 3-0 at Pisa 2026-05-17
Bologna
Attack 8th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Sassuolo 2026-09-06
- L 0-1 at Atalanta 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 v Lazio 2026-08-24
- D 3-3 v Inter 2026-05-23
- W 1-0 at Atalanta 2026-05-17
From 794 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 13 Sep
- Lecce vs Monza · FT 3–2
- Sassuolo vs Juventus · FT 3–2