Lecce vs Monza prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lecce to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Lecce 38% at home, a draw 30% and Monza 31%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 32% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lecce and 1.0 for Monza; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 66%. Careful: there is little recent data on Monza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lecce
Attack 20th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Cagliari 2026-09-07
- L 0-4 v Roma 2026-08-31
- W 2-0 at Venezia 2026-08-23
- W 1-0 v Genoa 2026-05-24
- W 3-2 at Sassuolo 2026-05-17
Monza
Attack 18th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Parma 2026-09-06
- L 2-3 v Udinese 2026-08-29
- L 1-4 at Inter 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Milan 2025-05-24
- L 1-3 v Empoli 2025-05-18
From 794 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 13 Sep
- Napoli vs Bologna · FT 1–0
- Sassuolo vs Juventus · FT 3–2