Mantova vs Sampdoria prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Mantova to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Mantova 49% at home, a draw 29% and Sampdoria 23%, so its call is 1: Mantova to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 29% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Mantova and 0.9 for Sampdoria; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Mantova
Attack 6th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Cesena 2026-09-06
- W 3-1 v Empoli 2026-08-30
- W 2-1 at Carrarese 2026-08-22
- L 0-5 at Frosinone 2026-05-08
- W 3-2 v Monza 2026-05-01
Sampdoria
Attack 20th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Palermo 2026-09-07
- L 1-2 v Juve Stabia 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Cesena 2026-08-23
- L 0-1 at Reggiana 2026-05-08
- W 1-0 v Sudtirol 2026-05-01
From 798 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 13 Sep
- Avellino vs Palermo · FT 1–1