Avellino vs Palermo prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Palermo to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Avellino 27% at home, a draw 29% and Palermo 44%, so its call is 2: Palermo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 28% / 48%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Avellino and 1.4 for Palermo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Avellino
Attack 10th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Modena 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 v Vicenza 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Arezzo 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Modena 2026-05-08
- L 0-1 at Empoli 2026-05-01
Palermo
Attack 1st of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Sampdoria 2026-09-07
- W 3-2 at Arezzo 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Juve Stabia 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 at Venezia 2026-05-08
- W 3-2 v Catanzaro 2026-05-01
From 798 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 13 Sep
- Mantova vs Sampdoria · FT 2–0