Brest vs Paris SG prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 13 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Paris SG to win as the most likely result (66%). It gives Brest 15% at home, a draw 19% and Paris SG 66%, so its call is 2: Paris SG to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 7% / 12% / 80%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Brest and 2.4 for Paris SG; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 68%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Brest
Attack 10th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Le Havre 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 v Toulouse 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Le Mans 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Angers 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 v Strasbourg 2026-05-13
Paris SG
Attack 1st of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Monaco 2026-09-04
- D 2-2 at Lille 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 at Rennes 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 at Paris FC 2026-05-17
- W 2-0 at Lens 2026-05-13
From 645 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 13 Sep
- Lille vs Troyes · FT 2–0
- Le Mans vs Lens · FT 2–2