St. Gilloise vs Lommel SK prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St. Gilloise to win as the most likely result (66%). It gives St. Gilloise 66% at home, a draw 24% and Lommel SK 10%, so its call is 1: St. Gilloise to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 79% / 14% / 8%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for St. Gilloise and 0.5 for Lommel SK; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 64%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lommel SK, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St. Gilloise
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Charleroi 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 at St Truiden 2026-09-02
- W 3-0 v Anderlecht 2026-08-30
- D 0-0 v Waregem 2026-08-15
- W 5-1 at Westerlo 2026-08-08
Lommel SK
Attack 13th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Club Brugge 2026-09-04
- W 1-0 at Cercle Brugge 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Westerlo 2026-08-23
- L 0-1 v Charleroi 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 at St Truiden 2026-08-08
From 669 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Beveren vs St Truiden · FT 2–0
- Westerlo vs Standard · FT 4–2
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Cercle Brugge · FT 1–1