Beveren vs St Truiden prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Truiden to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Beveren 23% at home, a draw 24% and St Truiden 54%, so its call is 2: St Truiden to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 26% / 40%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Beveren and 1.9 for St Truiden; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Beveren, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Beveren
Attack 14th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-09-06
- L 0-4 at Genk 2026-08-28
- L 0-4 at Waregem 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Anderlecht 2026-08-16
- L 1-2 at Antwerp 2026-08-09
St Truiden
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-0 v RAAL La Louviere 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 v St. Gilloise 2026-09-02
- W 4-1 at Antwerp 2026-08-30
- D 3-3 at Cercle Brugge 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 v Lommel SK 2026-08-08
From 669 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Westerlo vs Standard · FT 4–2
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Cercle Brugge · FT 1–1
- St. Gilloise vs Lommel SK · FT 5–0