Sochaux vs Nantes prediction
France Ligue 2 · Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sochaux to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Sochaux 36% at home, a draw 30% and Nantes 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 27% / 27% / 46%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sochaux and 1.1 for Nantes; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%. Careful: there is little recent data on Sochaux, Nantes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sochaux
Attack 18th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Pau FC 2026-09-04
- D 0-0 at Clermont 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Guingamp 2026-08-21
- D 0-0 at Red Star 2026-08-14
- L 0-3 v St Etienne 2026-08-08
Nantes
Attack 8th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Nancy 2026-09-07
- D 3-3 at Guingamp 2026-08-29
- L 2-5 v Rodez 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Laval 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Red Star 2026-08-08
From 661 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Sat 12 Sep
- Guingamp vs Annecy · FT 2–1
- Dunkerque vs St Etienne · FT 2–1