Dunkerque vs St Etienne prediction
France Ligue 2 · Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Etienne to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Dunkerque 27% at home, a draw 22% and St Etienne 52%, so its call is 2: St Etienne to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 17% / 21% / 61%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dunkerque and 2.0 for St Etienne; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 67%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dunkerque
Attack 4th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Clermont 2026-09-04
- L 0-2 at Nancy 2026-08-28
- L 0-1 v Montpellier 2026-08-21
- D 3-3 at Reims 2026-08-14
- W 4-2 v Grenoble 2026-08-08
St Etienne
Attack 1st of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Montpellier 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 at Dijon 2026-08-31
- W 4-0 v Grenoble 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 v Clermont 2026-08-14
- W 3-0 at Sochaux 2026-08-08
From 661 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Sat 12 Sep
- Guingamp vs Annecy · FT 2–1
- Sochaux vs Nantes · FT 1–0