Brit Predictor
Today's SportyBet codeQL6X8MOpen SportyBet18+ · Bet responsibly

Plymouth vs Barnsley prediction

England League One · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timePlymouth 3–0 BarnsleyResult 1

Who wins?

PlymouthDrawBarnsley
Model 1 ✓
58%20%22%
Market 1 ✓
58%22%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Plymouth to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Plymouth 58% at home, a draw 20% and Barnsley 22%, so its call is 1: Plymouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 22% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Plymouth and 1.3 for Barnsley; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 70%.

Expected goals2.3 – 1.3
GoalsOver 2.5 · 70%
Both teams score66%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Plymouth

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.

WLWDL
  • W 3-2 at Doncaster 2026-09-05
  • L 0-2 at Leicester 2026-09-01
  • W 2-0 v Bradford 2026-08-29
  • D 1-1 at Wycombe 2026-08-22
  • L 1-3 v Stockport 2026-08-15

Barnsley

Attack 9th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

LWWDL
  • L 1-5 v Stevenage 2026-09-05
  • W 2-1 v Blackpool 2026-09-02
  • W 3-1 at Leyton Orient 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 at Doncaster 2026-08-22
  • L 0-1 v Bromley 2026-08-15

From 1164 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sat 12 Sep

More England League One games on Sat 12 Sep