Oxford vs Burton prediction
England League One · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Oxford to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Oxford 57% at home, a draw 22% and Burton 21%, so its call is 1: Oxford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 25% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Oxford and 1.1 for Burton; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%. Careful: there is little recent data on Oxford, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Oxford
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- W 4-0 at Leicester 2026-09-05
- L 1-3 at Huddersfield 2026-09-01
- W 2-1 at Stevenage 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 v Milton Keynes Dons 2026-08-15
Burton
Attack 16th of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Cambridge 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-09-02
- L 1-2 at Notts County 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 at Leicester 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Stevenage 2026-08-15
From 1164 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 12 Sep
- Leyton Orient vs Wycombe · FT 2–3
- Notts County vs Bradford · FT 0–1
- Plymouth vs Barnsley · FT 3–0
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterboro · FT 1–1
- AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster · FT 1–0
- Cambridge vs Reading · FT 2–1
- Blackpool vs Bromley · FT 2–2
- Sheffield Weds vs Wigan · FT 0–0
- Mansfield vs Huddersfield · FT 0–0
- Stockport vs Leicester · FT 3–4