Girona vs Castellon prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Girona to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Girona 48% at home, a draw 23% and Castellon 29%, so its call is 1: Girona to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 26% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Girona and 1.4 for Castellon; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%. Careful: there is little recent data on Girona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Girona
Attack 2nd of 22, defence 11th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-09-05
- W 5-2 v Las Palmas 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 at Cordoba 2026-08-21
- D 1-1 v Leganes 2026-08-16
Castellon
Attack 3rd of 22, defence 10th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Albacete 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Celta B 2026-08-31
- D 0-0 v Sabadell 2026-08-23
- W 1-0 at Sociedad B 2026-08-14
- W 2-1 v Eibar 2026-05-31
From 969 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 12 Sep
- Andorra vs Sociedad B · FT 1–3
- Cadiz vs Las Palmas · FT 0–1
- Granada vs Albacete · FT 1–1
- Cordoba vs Almeria · FT 0–2