Cadiz vs Las Palmas prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Las Palmas to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Cadiz 28% at home, a draw 27% and Las Palmas 44%, so its call is 2: Las Palmas to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 28% / 32%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cadiz and 1.3 for Las Palmas; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cadiz
Attack 17th of 22, defence 17th of 22 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Almeria 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 v Valladolid 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 at Eldense 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Celta B 2026-08-15
- L 1-4 at Santander 2026-05-31
Las Palmas
Attack 6th of 22, defence 4th of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Leganes 2026-09-04
- L 2-5 at Girona 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Ceuta 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Albacete 2026-08-16
- W 2-1 at La Coruna 2026-05-31
From 969 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 12 Sep
- Andorra vs Sociedad B · FT 1–3
- Granada vs Albacete · FT 1–1
- Girona vs Castellon · FT 1–2
- Cordoba vs Almeria · FT 0–2