For Sittard vs Ajax prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ajax to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives For Sittard 22% at home, a draw 25% and Ajax 54%, so its call is 2: Ajax to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 13% / 17% / 70%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for For Sittard and 1.8 for Ajax; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
For Sittard
Attack 12th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Den Haag 2026-09-06
- W 3-2 at Groningen 2026-08-28
- L 0-2 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 v Cambuur 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-08
Ajax
Attack 4th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-09-05
- W 4-0 at Telstar 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 v Heerenveen 2026-08-16
- W 2-0 at Zwolle 2026-08-09
- D 0-0 at Heerenveen 2026-05-17
From 657 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 12 Sep
- Twente vs Den Haag · FT 2–0
- Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen · FT 1–1
- Cambuur vs Nijmegen · FT 3–0