Brit Predictor
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Cambuur vs Nijmegen prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 12 September 2026, 21:00 WAT

Full timeCambuur 3–0 NijmegenResult 1

Who wins?

CambuurDrawNijmegen
Model 2 ✗
16%17%67%
Market 2 ✗
19%20%61%

Brit Predictor's model rates Nijmegen to win as the most likely result (67%). It gives Cambuur 16% at home, a draw 17% and Nijmegen 67%, so its call is 2: Nijmegen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 19% / 20% / 61%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cambuur and 2.9 for Nijmegen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 80%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cambuur, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 2.9
GoalsOver 2.5 · 80%
Both teams score71%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Cambuur

Attack 16th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.

DLLLL
  • D 2-2 at Telstar 2026-09-06
  • L 1-4 v Twente 2026-08-30
  • L 2-5 v Feyenoord 2026-08-23
  • L 1-3 at For Sittard 2026-08-15
  • L 0-4 v Excelsior 2026-08-07

Nijmegen

Attack 3rd of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.

DLWWL
  • D 2-2 v Excelsior 2026-09-08
  • L 1-3 v Feyenoord 2026-09-05
  • W 3-1 at Zwolle 2026-08-29
  • W 4-1 at Willem II 2026-08-15
  • L 1-2 v Telstar 2026-08-08

From 657 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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