Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 12 September 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Academico Viseu to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Academico Viseu 37% at home, a draw 27% and Guimaraes 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 28% / 46%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Academico Viseu and 1.2 for Guimaraes; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Academico Viseu, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Academico Viseu
Attack 11th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Gil Vicente 2026-09-06
- L 0-3 v Porto 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Maritimo 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 v Santa Clara 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 at Benfica 2026-08-09
Guimaraes
Attack 10th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Casa Pia 2026-09-06
- L 0-1 at Sp Braga 2026-08-31
- W 1-0 v Nacional 2026-08-23
- L 2-3 at Sp Lisbon 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Arouca 2026-08-08
From 656 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 12 Sep
- Nacional vs Alverca · FT 1–3
- Casa Pia vs Porto · FT 1–4