Montpellier vs Pau FC prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 11 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Montpellier to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Montpellier 57% at home, a draw 25% and Pau FC 18%, so its call is 1: Montpellier to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 26% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Montpellier and 0.8 for Pau FC; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Montpellier
Attack 11th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 at St Etienne 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 v Boulogne 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 at Dunkerque 2026-08-21
- W 1-0 at Nancy 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 v Dijon 2026-08-08
Pau FC
Attack 9th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Sochaux 2026-09-04
- D 2-2 at Rodez 2026-08-28
- L 0-1 v Nancy 2026-08-21
- W 1-0 at Dijon 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Annecy 2026-08-08
From 656 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 11 Sep
- Rodez vs Grenoble · FT 0–1
- Nancy vs Reims · FT 1–2
- Dijon vs Laval · FT 3–2
- Clermont vs Boulogne · FT 0–0