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Dijon vs Laval prediction

France Ligue 2 · Friday 11 September 2026, 20:00 WAT

Full timeDijon 3–2 LavalResult 1

Who wins?

DijonDrawLaval
Model 12 ✓
40%29%31%
Market 1 ✓
48%27%26%

Brit Predictor's model rates Dijon to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Dijon 40% at home, a draw 29% and Laval 31%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 27% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dijon and 1.0 for Laval; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%. Careful: there is little recent data on Dijon, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 62%
Both teams score45%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Dijon

Attack 13th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.

DLDLD
  • D 1-1 at Boulogne 2026-09-04
  • L 2-3 v St Etienne 2026-08-31
  • D 1-1 at Clermont 2026-08-21
  • L 0-1 v Pau FC 2026-08-14
  • D 1-1 at Montpellier 2026-08-08

Laval

Attack 14th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.

LLDWL
  • L 1-2 v Red Star 2026-09-04
  • L 0-3 v Grenoble 2026-08-28
  • D 1-1 at Metz 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 v Nantes 2026-08-14
  • L 1-3 at Rodez 2026-08-08

From 656 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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