Benevento vs Verona prediction
Italy Serie B · Friday 11 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Verona to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Benevento 28% at home, a draw 29% and Verona 42%, so its call is 2: Verona to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 30% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for Benevento and 1.4 for Verona; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on Benevento, Verona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Benevento
Attack 20th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Ascoli 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Sudtirol 2026-08-30
- L 1-2 v Modena 2026-08-22
Verona
Attack 4th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- W 5-0 v Arezzo 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 at Padova 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Ascoli 2026-08-23
From 790 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Fri 11 Sep
- Empoli vs Arezzo · FT 0–1
- Pisa vs Virtus Entella · FT 1–4