Charlton vs QPR prediction
England Championship · Wednesday 9 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Charlton to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Charlton 38% at home, a draw 30% and QPR 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 28% / 43%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Charlton and 1.1 for QPR; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Charlton
Attack 24th of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Stoke 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at West Brom 2026-09-02
- W 1-0 v Preston 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 at West Ham 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Derby 2026-08-15
QPR
Attack 11th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Middlesbrough 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v Cardiff 2026-09-02
- W 2-1 at Blackburn 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 v Bolton 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Portsmouth 2026-08-15
From 1170 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Wed 9 Sep
- Norwich vs Birmingham · FT 2–1
- Derby vs West Brom · FT 0–1