Wrexham vs Burnley prediction
England Championship · Tuesday 8 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burnley to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Wrexham 35% at home, a draw 28% and Burnley 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 28% / 26%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Wrexham and 1.3 for Burnley; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Burnley, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Wrexham
Attack 5th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Swansea 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 at Millwall 2026-09-02
- L 1-2 v Birmingham 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 v Watford 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Cardiff 2026-08-17
Burnley
Attack 7th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Bristol City 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Middlesbrough 2026-09-02
- L 1-4 at Norwich 2026-08-29
- L 1-3 at West Brom 2026-08-23
- D 2-2 v West Ham 2026-08-16
From 1164 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Tue 8 Sep
- Blackburn vs Sheffield United · FT 1–2
- Cardiff vs Stoke · FT 1–1
- Southampton vs Swansea · FT 3–1
- Watford vs Preston · FT 2–1
- Bolton vs West Ham · FT 2–3