Oviedo vs Burgos prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 6 September 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Oviedo to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Oviedo 40% at home, a draw 33% and Burgos 27%, so its call is 1X: Oviedo to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 29% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.0 for Oviedo and 0.8 for Burgos; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 75%. Careful: there is little recent data on Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Oviedo
Attack 12th of 22, defence 4th of 22 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Albacete 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Leganes 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Granada 2026-08-15
- W 2-1 v Cadiz 2025-06-01
- W 1-0 at Tenerife 2025-05-25
Burgos
Attack 16th of 22, defence 1st of 22 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Sociedad B 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 at Sp Gijon 2026-08-23
- W 3-2 v Cordoba 2026-08-16
- W 1-0 v Andorra 2026-05-31
- W 2-0 at Cultural Leonesa 2026-05-24
From 963 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 6 Sep
- Eibar vs Granada · FT 3–0
- Castellon vs Albacete · FT 2–0
- Almeria vs Cadiz · FT 3–2