Brit Predictor

Almeria vs Cadiz prediction

Spain Segunda · Sunday 6 September 2026, 21:00 WAT

Full timeAlmeria 3–2 CadizResult 1

Who wins?

AlmeriaDrawCadiz
Model 1 ✓
63%20%17%
Market 1 ✓
64%22%14%

Brit Predictor's model rates Almeria to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Almeria 63% at home, a draw 20% and Cadiz 17%, so its call is 1: Almeria to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 22% / 14%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.2 for Almeria and 1.1 for Cadiz; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%.

Expected goals2.2 – 1.1
GoalsOver 2.5 · 63%
Both teams score58%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Almeria

Attack 1st of 22, defence 19th of 22 in the league.

LLWWL
  • L 0-1 at Sabadell 2026-08-29
  • L 0-1 at Tenerife 2026-08-23
  • W 3-0 v Eldense 2026-08-17
  • W 1-0 v Valladolid 2026-05-31
  • L 1-3 at Sp Gijon 2026-05-24

Cadiz

Attack 17th of 22, defence 17th of 22 in the league.

DDDLW
  • D 1-1 v Valladolid 2026-08-30
  • D 2-2 at Eldense 2026-08-22
  • D 0-0 v Celta B 2026-08-15
  • L 1-4 at Santander 2026-05-31
  • W 3-0 v Leganes 2026-05-24

From 963 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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