Malaga vs Levante prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 6 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Malaga to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Malaga 39% at home, a draw 25% and Levante 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 28% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Malaga and 1.3 for Levante; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Malaga, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Malaga
Attack 19th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Real Madrid 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 v La Coruna 2026-08-24
- L 0-2 at Ath Madrid 2026-08-19
Levante
Attack 9th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- W 5-2 v Betis 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Osasuna 2026-08-24
- L 0-3 at Espanol 2026-08-16
- L 1-2 at Betis 2026-05-23
- W 2-0 v Mallorca 2026-05-17
From 795 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 6 Sep
- Valencia vs Barcelona · FT 0–5
- Alaves vs Osasuna · FT 5–2
- Espanol vs Sevilla · FT 1–1