Alaves vs Osasuna prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 6 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Alaves to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Alaves 43% at home, a draw 28% and Osasuna 29%, so its call is 1: Alaves to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 30% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Alaves and 1.0 for Osasuna; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Alaves
Attack 15th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Villarreal 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 at Vallecano 2026-08-20
- W 3-0 v Getafe 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 v Vallecano 2026-05-23
- W 1-0 at Oviedo 2026-05-17
Osasuna
Attack 14th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Getafe 2026-08-31
- W 2-1 at Celta 2026-08-27
- D 0-0 v Levante 2026-08-24
- L 0-1 at Getafe 2026-05-23
- L 1-2 v Espanol 2026-05-17
From 795 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 6 Sep
- Valencia vs Barcelona · FT 0–5
- Malaga vs Levante · FT 0–0
- Espanol vs Sevilla · FT 1–1