Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 6 September 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1X ✗ (home win or draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Gil Vicente to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Gil Vicente 56% at home, a draw 24% and Academico Viseu 20%, so its call is 1: Gil Vicente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 31% / 29%, a call of 1X — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Gil Vicente and 0.9 for Academico Viseu; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Academico Viseu, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Gil Vicente
Attack 7th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Famalicao 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 v Casa Pia 2026-08-24
- W 1-0 v Rio Ave 2026-08-09
- L 0-3 at Sp Lisbon 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 v Arouca 2026-05-11
Academico Viseu
Attack 12th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Porto 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Maritimo 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 v Santa Clara 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 at Benfica 2026-08-09
From 650 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 6 Sep
- Santa Clara vs Rio Ave · FT 4–0
- Guimaraes vs Casa Pia · FT 0–0