Everton vs Man United prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Man United to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Everton 35% at home, a draw 29% and Man United 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 24% / 50%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Everton and 1.3 for Man United; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Everton
Attack 17th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Bournemouth 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Tottenham 2026-05-24
- L 1-3 v Sunderland 2026-05-17
- D 2-2 at Crystal Palace 2026-05-10
Man United
Attack 4th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- W 5-2 v Ipswich 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 at Hull 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 at Brighton 2026-05-24
- W 3-2 v Nott'm Forest 2026-05-17
- D 0-0 at Sunderland 2026-05-09
From 788 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 6 Sep
- Arsenal vs Chelsea · FT 2–1