Sp Gijon vs Girona prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Gijon to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Sp Gijon 44% at home, a draw 23% and Girona 33%, so its call is 1: Sp Gijon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 28% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sp Gijon and 1.4 for Girona; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%. Careful: there is little recent data on Girona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sp Gijon
Attack 7th of 22, defence 8th of 22 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Tenerife 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Burgos 2026-08-23
- D 0-0 v Sabadell 2026-08-17
- W 2-1 at Granada 2026-05-30
- W 3-1 v Almeria 2026-05-24
Girona
Attack 2nd of 22, defence 16th of 22 in the league.
- W 5-2 v Las Palmas 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 at Cordoba 2026-08-21
- D 1-1 v Leganes 2026-08-16
From 958 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 5 Sep
- Sociedad B vs Tenerife · FT 1–1
- Ceuta vs Celta B · FT 0–2
- Valladolid vs Andorra · FT 1–0
- Eldense vs Mallorca · FT 0–0