Ceuta vs Celta B prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 5 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ceuta to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Ceuta 37% at home, a draw 25% and Celta B 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ceuta and 1.4 for Celta B; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Celta B, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ceuta
Attack 15th of 22, defence 22nd of 22 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Mallorca 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 v Las Palmas 2026-08-22
- L 1-5 at Andorra 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Albacete 2026-05-30
- W 2-0 at Andorra 2026-05-24
Celta B
Attack 12th of 22, defence 15th of 22 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Castellon 2026-08-31
- W 4-2 v Andorra 2026-08-24
- D 0-0 at Cadiz 2026-08-15
From 958 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 5 Sep
- Sociedad B vs Tenerife · FT 1–1
- Sp Gijon vs Girona · FT 0–2
- Valladolid vs Andorra · FT 1–0
- Eldense vs Mallorca · FT 0–0